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The Food Reserve Agency – FRA has confirmed that the exercise of speeding up the collection of maize by engagementment of the Zambia Army initiated by the Southern Province Minister has now been extended to all the ten (10) provinces of Zambia.

FRA has since assured the nation that no maize will go to waste this year. FRA disclosed that the exercise of moving maize from the satellite depots to main holding depots is still in progress in all the ten provinces of Zambia.

FRA Public Relations Officer John Chipandwe said the exercise is being carried out countrywide to make sure the maize is moved from the satellite depots in the bush to the main holding depots for long-term storage.

Speaking in an interview with the Zambian Business Times – ZBT, Chipandwe said the Army is simply moving maize from the furthest remote part into the main holding depots, which is, crop securing maize from being soaked countrywide.

Last month Southern Province Minister Cornelius Mweetwa initiated and flagged off maize transportation supported by the Zambia Army from satellite depots to main holding depots in Choma,mand explained that collection and transportation of maize from satellite depots was to be done by the Disaster Management and Mitigation Unit (DMMU), Defence Forces, Food Reserve Agency (FRA) and Southern Province Administration.

Mweetwa said this was in response to Vice President Mutale Nalumango’s directive to the provincial administration to quicken collection of the maize grain from depots in the province in order to secure the grain and prevent it from being damaged by rains.

The Food Reserve Agency - FRA has

The incomplete high-rise building at the junction of Katondo Street and Freedom Way in Lusaka is not just a hide out for criminal activities, it is now a subject of public safety concerns.

The surroundings to the eyesore of Lusaka are filthy despite the Council now claiming to have taken over collection of levies after party cadres were said to have been eliminated. Maybe the levies being collected now are going to pay and clear salary arrears?

The 11- storey incomplete building described by many as an eyesore of Lusaka Central business district has now choked up over 30 years without a firm decision being made on it.

Successive governments in power from the MMD, to PF and now UPND all seem to pretend like they don’t mind its shabby and grotesque presence. Others have said its a testimony of Zambia’s failed legal system that takes years to deliver justice, while others simply say that no one cares for the look and feel of the capital city.

But that Engineering Institution of Zambia – EIZ has weighed in and stated that the abandoned building at the corner of Freedom Way and Katondo Street is a big concern as there has been no notable construction activity for over 30 years.

EIZ President Engineer Able Ng’andu explained that what is even more worrying is the construction crane standing adjacent to the building, whose metallic members have started falling off because of corrosion and that this crane may actually collapse and fall on people or public property should concern all responsible members of the public.

Ng’andu noted that the crane adjacent to the building at the junction of Freedom Way and Katondo Street must be brought down as a matter of urgency, in order to avert any possible accidents in city centre.

A check by Zambian Business Times – ZBT reveals that the building has been changing many hands over time. The multi-storey building seems to involve parties that are much more powerful than the Lusaka city council officials who have been on record to have issued all sorts of directives which have simply been ignored.

Even successive local government ministers and top ministry officials seem to be helpless when it gets to finding the way forward for this “eyesore” of Lusaka. Will it ever get completed or perhaps razed down?

The incomplete high-rise building at the junction

The Engineering Institution of Zambia (EIZ) has expressed concern over the collapsing of billboards around the country in the recent past and called for the pulling down of all over-sized billboards beyond nine (9) square meters to address public safety concerns.

EIZ President Eng. Abel Ng’andu said although the institution has not instituted an independent investigations in any of the reported incidences, it has taken note of some of the mitigating measures instituted by civic leaders in Lusaka city, which include suspension of issuance of permits for cantilevers, as contained in the Lusaka City Council media statement dated 20 November 2021.

Speaking during a press briefing held at EIZ Secretariat attended by the Zambian Business Times – ZBT, Ng’andu said the institution has therefore recommended the suspension of the mounting of any billboard beyond the size of 9m2 until a thorough consultative process is carried out and concluded to address public safety.

The EIZ President further said all billboards with a display area beyond nine square meters (9m2) should be pulled down and that it should be ensured that all LED/Digital-lit billboards meet the luminance standards and values or be pulled down too.

Ng’andu also recommended that only engineering professionals with valid practicing licenses are engaged to design and construct billboards, as this will ensure high level of engineering integrity in the installations across the country.

In early November 2021, two people sustained serious injuries after a giant billboard collapsed on them along the Great East Road, Munali flyover bridge and round about in the capital city of Lusaka. The incident happened after a heavy downpour of rains. The  two injured people were rushed to Levy Mwanawasa Teaching Hospital.

Another incident in Zambia’s second largest city Kitwe involved the collapse of a giant billboard. Seven mobile money agents in Kitwe on the Copperbelt escaped unhurt after a giant billboard collapsed on their booths following strong winds.

No comprehensive inspection has yet been done across the country, meaning that this risk remains largely unmitigated for the giant billboards that are already constructed and standing.

The Engineering Institution of Zambia (EIZ) has

A First National Bank – FNB note to its clients seen by the Zambian Business Times – ZBT has attributed the Kwacha appreciation to a sudden US dollar supply or inflows into Zambia of dollars coming from off-shore (outside Zambia) market players.

“The local unit appreciated by about 2% against the greenback (US dollar) in Wednesday 8 December 2021 trading session, to close the session at K17.17 from K17.52 at the mid. Volumes ticked up on both sides of the market, particularly in US dollar supply as corporates closed off dollar positions. With market fundamentals unchanged, the local unit’s movement was purely sentiment driven,” FNB explained in its Daily Market Update on Thursday 9 December 2021 seen by the Zambian Business Times – ZBT.

“With sentiment biased towards further kwacha gains and foreign currency demand remaining anaemic, we expect the local unit to trend lower and breach the K17.00 mark in today’s (Thursday) session. Support is seen at K16.80.”

The FNB note further explained that offshore investors were largely responsible for offloading dollars on the local financial market.

“As expected, the local unit responded positively to the news that Zambia had finally reached a Staff-Level Agreement with the IMF – moving from an opening mid-level of K17.84 to K17.52 at close of business. We saw an immediate impact on the offshore side as players offloaded significant US dollar flows into the market. Offshore flows were supplemented by onshore supply from some corporates looking to meet local currency obligations,” FNB stated in an update released Wednesday.

“It is unclear whether the IMF agreement’s effect on sentiment has bottomed out given [the current] market movement. Overall, activity slowed down on both ends of the market (demand and supply) as some businesses continue to wind down for the year. With outstanding demand orders filled and overall demand waning, we could see the local unit continue to make gains, albeit mild, against the greenback. Support and resistance are seen at K17.30 and K17.70, respectively.”

On Friday, December 3, the Zambian government reached a Staff-Level Agreement on a programme under the IMF’s ECF that envisages provision of financial support of US $1.4 billion over a period of three years.

And Access Zambia Bank Limited which is now a big player on the Zambian banking sector following its acquisition of Cavmont and the recently announced merger with Atlas Mara has observed that positive sentiment from the Fund’s ECF announcement fuelled the local currency’s appreciation against major currency convertibles.

“Monday trading saw the kwacha make bullish moves against major traded currencies on the back of positive sentiment surrounding the IMF Staff Mission Agreement with the Zambian government. The USD-ZMW pair opened the trading session quoted at K17.78/K17.83 and closed at K17.54/K17.59, 1.57 per cent stronger than Friday’s close of K17.82/K17.87,” stated Access Bank in its Treasury Market Update released recently.

The names these offshore players who have flooded the Zambian market with dollars following the signing of the staff level agreement with IMF has not been made public. More to follow on who these players are and what they intend to invest into…

 

A First National Bank - FNB note

Economist Chibamba Kanyama says the current appreciation of the kwacha can be attributed to the conclusion and agreement of a staff level deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as it has sent a positive signal that Zambia’s economy is getting back on track.

Kanyama said the fiscal deficit would begin to narrow because government will reign in on expenditure under the IMF programme and begin to prioritise expenditure, adding that with the IMF programme comes the funding, which has positive implications for market players.

He noted that even a third of the total allocated amount by the IMF is enough to change the market sentiment and supply, noting that there will be some supply of about US$400 million at the initial stage next year and that alone indicates that there will be some supply of the dollar to the market.

Kanyama stated that the appreciation of the kwacha was expected. “If you have observed, every time the previous regime gave some positive news about discussions with IMF, you saw at that moment how the Eurobonds would perform and how the kwacha would perform just on the prospects of negotiation”, he said.

Speaking in an exclusive interview with the Zambian Business Times – ZBT, Kanyama noted that the IMF programme also indicates that the major anxiety of investors particularly Eurobond holders including overall investors of potential default on the first bullet payment by Zambia to the Eurobond holders has been scrapped off.

He added that there might have been concerns that Zambia would be punished if it defaults on the US$750 million, therefore it would have to borrow from the market and worsen the general market conditions.

Kanyama mentioned that with the IMF coming on board, there is strong assurance that Zambia will be in a position to service or refinance the bullet payment next year.

He added that this deal also indicates that Zambia will now get budget support from bilateral and multilateral donors and this money comes in dollars, therefore if that happens it will beef up the dollar reserves in the country. So that sentiment is beginning to impact the exchange rates.

“Most of those holding dollars are now speculating and panicking; they don’t know where the dollar will settle at tomorrow. They wouldn’t want to offload their dollars when the kwacha has become stronger, they would rather do it now so these are the ones who are also speculating going in the market, buy kwacha and offloading the dollar which may lose value”, he said.

“There would be a holding position; there will come a point where those who are holding the dollar will feel like I think we don’t want to lose any further than this.  They will hold a position and am anticipating it will be around K15 per US dollar, but you can never rule out the possibility of it appreciating further in the coming weeks”, he told ZBT.

The depreciation of the Kwacha continues to be one of Zambia’s major economic challenges. A depreciating Kwacha means a reduction in purchasing power of both business and individuals whose earnings and assets are denominated in Kwacha.

The country’s economic management team needs to find ways to take control of the Kwacha as opposed to relying on external factors which are outside its control.

 

Economist Chibamba Kanyama says the current appreciation

The National Union for Small Scale Farmers in Zambia – NUSFAZ has advised farmers who have already planted [and have no irrigation system] to replant their crops as soon as the Zambia Meteorological Department provides clearance.

The farmers union has noted that some farmers started planting at the onset of early rains, therefore chances are that they will have wasted their seed as well as the fertilizer that they had put together with their seed.

Union Executive Director Ebony Loloji explained that farmers should wait until the meteorological department guides that there would be enough rainfall, which will be consistent before they start replanting.

Loloji said replanting would enable the farmers to harvest something next year adding that farmers should replant medium or early maturing varieties so that the harvest is not affected since they will be planting later than they had anticipated.

Speaking in an interview with the Zambian Business Times – ZBT, Loloji noted that some farmers started planting at the onset of early rains therefore chances are that they will have wasted their seed as well as the fertilizer that they had put together with their seed.

It is not clear if affected farmers who are on Farmer Input Support Program which has a weather indexed insurance component will be compensated. Otherwise, most farmers capital positions are not strong to withstand this early loss.

“Already, we have been warned by the meteorological department that for the next 10 days, we are not going to receive meaningful rainfall, rainfall that is enough to put moisture into the soil which can support plant growth. That is the more reason that they have advised that if at all there is anything that they can plant, it is just cassava, not any other plant”, he said.

He emphasized that provided the farmers listen to the guidance of experts where going about a short season is concerned, the union believes that food security cannot be affected drastically by the dry spell that the country is currently experiencing.

Loloji has encouraged farmers to adopt methods of farming that will help them to conserve moisture noting that there is technology that can assist farmers in conserving moisture as well as focus on the use of early maturing hybrid.

He added that technology such as agro ecology where farmers work on things like conserving soil and moisture and the use of hybrid or seed varieties that mature early could help farmers get the desired harvest.

The met department is yet to give a longer term revised projection that can guide the farmers to plan their production. As things stand, fears are growing that climate change effects may lead to a drought which causes hunger and food insecurity for most citizens.

The National Union for Small Scale Farmers

Nitrogen Chemicals of Zambia – NCZ has confirmed that it has delivered over 80% of the tonnage of fertilizer that the company is supplying to Southern Province and expect to conclude delivering in the both D-compound and Urea in next two weeks.

NCZ Marketing and Sales Manager Cleopatra Chanda also confirmed that NCZ only manufactures D-Compound while Urea is imported. She further disclosed that the company has utilized some of the money injected by IDC for working capital to produce and deliver the Southern Province fertilizer order.

When asked on what progress has been made on procuring a fertilizer blending plant which was financed in July 2021 by IDC, Chanda said the company has initiated and is in the process of procuring a blending plant which will make it possible for the company to blend fertilizer once the machine is in the country adding that the machine is likely to arrive early next year 2022.

In July this year 2021, the Industrial Development Corporation – IDC  injected a total of K684 million (about $31 million at the time)  into NCZ to enable the company acquire a modern blending plant as well as boost its production capacity.

IDC Group CEO Mateyo Kaluba at the time of investment stated that of the total amount invested, K638 million was for working capital support for the production of fertilizer to enable the company consistently supply the commodity to the market, while K45.6 million was to enable procurement of a modern fertilizer blending plant.

The NCZ marketing manager told ZBT that NCZ has so far delivered over 80% of the tonnage of fertilizer that the company is supplying in Southern Province. She said the company is delivering both D-Compound and Urea and is expected to finish distributing the fertilizer in the next one to two weeks.

Chanda mentioned that issuance of fertilizer to the farmers is currently going on in Southern Province and the distribution is going well noting that there are no challenges being experienced. See ZBT article on IDC $31million investment into Nitrogen Chemicals of Zambia – NCZ https://zambianbusinesstimes.com/k638m-investment-into-ncz-to-cut-need-for-imports/

Fertilizer imports continued to be one of the major foreign exchange drainers in the Zambian economy due to the big volumes ordered as well as bulk transportation costs. Analyst have however contented that local manufacturing of the commodity remains one of the viable routes for Zambia to take.

The late founding President of Zambia – Dr. Kenneth Kaunda’s government that got independence for Zambia realized that importing fertilizer was unsustainable and set up NCZ but successive governments after that from MMD, PF and now UPND have continued to opt to import. This is despite not availing the public any technical and financial report that support their decisions or policies to opt to import fertilizer than produce locally.

Nitrogen Chemicals of Zambia - NCZ has

The Small Scale Farmers Development Agency – SAFADA says about 15% of over 600, 000 rain dependent local farmers who have already planted their crops will have no option but to replant due to the dry spell currently being experienced across most parts of Zambia.

The dry spell that has continued into early December is causing anxiety among local farmers whose production is heavily dependent on rains and subsidized inputs from government. Most farmers ended up planting after a false start of rains which has now turned into a dry spell after planting had already been done.

SAFADA Executive Director Boyd Moobwe said government might need to assist the farmers who planted their crops as soon as the first rains came because the financial status of most local farmers who are the majority of the small-scale farmers cannot afford to replant.

Moobwe said the country had recorded bumper harvests for the past three seasons but now household food security is under threat as most farmers have sold everything harvested in the previous season, noting that, on a national level, government has assured the public that there are enough reserves.

Speaking in an interview with the Zambian Business Times-ZBT, Moobwe noted that there might be rains towards the end of this month as indicated by the metrology department but normally when farmers plant during the rainy season, they need to ensure they finish planting before January 15 therefore it is worrying that there is still no rain.

He said government should also assess how the continued dry spell will affect the country’s harvest next year in order to decide whether to continue exporting maize in the reserves or not because the weather pattern being currently experienced is not encouraging.

Moobwe has advised government to start planning what will happen in the next six months if the country does not have good maize yields.

“We had some rains the first week of November in some places like Chipata, Lundazi, Chibombo  and Central province, so farmers were ploughing and planting hoping that the rains had started but unfortunately things have changed”, he said.

He mentioned that there is need to provide technical and financial assistance to farmers adding that extension officers need to be on the ground advising farmers on various issues including the effects of climate change, but farmers are only getting most of the information from the media.

Moobwe said it is unfortunate that farmers are just being told to wait and not being provided with more information.

“You can still plant and calculate to say the rains will come in 14 days time and the crop will germinate but farmers are not being told this, instead they are being told to wait. For how long because the season is only for three months for a crop to grow and mature”, he lamented.

The Ministry of Agriculture has announced the sale of a further 450,000 tons of maize, additional to the initial 450,000. But fears are growing that if the rainfall situation does not improve, the country may end up with a deficit which will make the staple food unaffordable for the majority.

Minister of Agriculture Mtolo Phiri is yet to issue a comprehensive statement on the way forward regarding continued exports in relation to the current dry spell. Moreover, some maize stocks from the 2020/2021 Agro season in the other nine provinces remain uncollected as only the Southern Province Ministry seems to have mobilize the army to mobilize and collect from his assigned region.

The Small Scale Farmers Development Agency -

The price of cooking and other edible oils currently being imported under the suspended customs & excise duties as well as suspended or zero rating of value added tax – VAT temporal regime is projected to jump up by about 41% when the two taxes become applicable on 1st January 2022.

A check on the current retail prices reveals that the current market prices are based on imports and distribution of edible oils that are enjoying the temporarily suspended import duty on edible oils which is at 25% of the value of imported edible oils.

The current cooking oil market prices are also less another suspended Value Added Tax (VAT) of 16%, which therefore means that if the two Statutory Instrument (SI’s) that have been extended to 31st December 2022 which exempts importers from paying import duty and VAT expires, importers would have to pay a total of about 41% (25% + 16%) in additional taxes which will have to be passed on to the final consumers.

According to a check done by the Zambian Business Times – ZBT, the two SI’s 83 and 85 of 2021 will both expire on 31 December 2021 and if not extended, cooking oil prices may increase and consumers would have to bear the increase in landed costs.

And the Crushers and Edible Oil Refiners Association (CEDORA) has disclosed that prices of cooking oil are likely to go up between 16% to 41% if the temporal suspension on import duty and VAT is not extended beyond 31 December 2021.

Speaking in an exclusive interview with the Zambian Business Times – ZBT, CEDORA Director Aubrey Chibumba however said prices of locally manufactured cooking oil are likely to go up by a lower margin of between 20% to 25%.

“If my cooking oil costs $100, am supposed to pay $25 dollars as import duty, so it will go up between 16% and 41%, if you are importing packed refined oil, then yes it would go up by that 41% but for locally manufactured oil, it would go up probably around 20%-25%”, he said.

Chibumba confirmed that there was an extension after the initial SI that temporarily suspended import duty and VAT on edible oils expired at end of October this year, 2021. See earlier ZBT article on Suspended Import duty effect on cooking oil prices.

Driving local manufacturing of edible cooking oil remains one of the viable ways to cut the prices of the commodity but both Soya and Sunflower production remains below national consumption demand. See ZBT article on Sunflower production in Zambia

The price of cooking and other edible

Zambia’s President Hakainde Hichilema – HH and his Malawi Counterpart Lazarous Chakwera have pledged to fast tract completion works at the US$7.5 million one stop border post construction which started in 2018.

President Hichilema during a joint press briefing with Malawi President Chakwera stated that his visit to Malawi underscores the deep relationship and ties that exist between the two countries. The two countries share common languages, culture and ancestry among others.

HH stated that Zambia and Malawi has enjoyed good relations with Malawi at people to people and government to government level. He stated that this visit has enabled to two leaders to agree to extend the relations further to include deep business to business relations.

According to the United Nations COMTRADE data on international trade, Malawi exports to Zambia in 2020 was about US$27 million while Zambia’s exports to Malawi in the same year was about  US$104 million.

President Hichilema and his Malawi counterpart however did not announce the signing of any specific or quantifiable bilateral trade deal and the visit was mostly concentrated on diplomatic etiquette.

Zambia and Malawi share a common land border of over 800 kilometers that the two countries should use to further deepen corporations and trade. HH said the two countries should continue to foster and entrench democracy. Sustainability of democracy relies on creation of better opportunities for the youth as well as accelerating economic and social development.

And Malawi President Lazarous Chakwera who is also serving as the regional Southern Africa Development Community – SADC  Chairman re-affirmed that the two leaders agreed to timely harmonize and simplify border controls to increase the volume of trade.

Chakwera stated that he has agreed with HH to support the completion of the Mchinji – Mwami border modernization works and the two leaders pledged to open it early next year 2022.

The African Development Bank (AfDB) financed the US$7.5 million construction of a one stop border facility at Mwami/Mchinji Border. This Zambia-Malawi one stop border facility has being under construction from September 2018.

The one stop border post is expected to enhance Zambia’s trade with neighboring Malawi  and facilitate the efficient processing of more goods, people movement and general trade transactions.

Zambia’s President Hakainde Hichilema - HH and