The Zambia National Farmers Union (ZNFU) and the Government 2025/2026 forecast for wheat production fail to tally by over 400,000 metric tons. According to the 2025/2026 crop forecast survey, the government estimated Zambia’s wheat production at 81,000 metric tonnes, down from 176,000 metric tonnes in the 2024/2025 farming season, representing a decline of more than 52%. However, the sharp decline in the official forecast raises questions about whether the figures being used for planning accurately capture actual wheat production across the country. The agricultural statistics are meant to guide everything from food security planning to import decisions and farmer support,...
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